Population Biology of Infectious Disease

Dynamics & Control
I make dynamic populations models of infectious diseases to design or evaluate and possibly improve control strategies at home and abroad. Diseases I have modeled include influenza, measles, pertussis, rotavirus, rubella, smallpox, and varicella and zoster. I have also developed a generic model of a directly-transmitted infectious disease with which to assist policymakers in identifying the optimal response early in outbreaks of new human diseases.

Recent publications:

• "Timely identification of control strategies for emerging infectious diseases: severe acute respiratory syndrome in Singapore." (submitted to TPB)
• "Evaluating public health responses to re-introduced smallpox via dynamic, socially structured, and spatially distributed meta-population models." (with JM Lane et al.) Clin Infect Dis (supplement).
• Clinical and public health applications of mathematical models. Lecture Note Series, Institute for Mathematical Sciences, National University of Singapore." (invited chapter)
• 2001. "The risk of seizures after receipt of whole-cell pertussis or measles, mumps, and rubella vaccines." (with WE Barlow, et al.). N Engl J Med 345(9):656-61.
• 2005. "Reducing the global burden of congenital rubella syndrome: report of the WHO Steering Committee on Research Related to Measles and Rubella Vaccines and Vaccination," June, 2004, Geneva, Switzerland (with AM Arvin, et al.). J Infect Dis 192:1890-97.